Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.071908 0.080796 0.089918 0.099952 0.110648 0.121682 0.133898
2025-05-04 0.059027 0.072518 0.087087 0.103850 0.122470 0.142396 0.165205
2025-05-11 0.048000 0.063925 0.081905 0.103380 0.128022 0.155130 0.186929
2025-05-18 0.041786 0.059624 0.080521 0.106232 0.136476 0.170434 0.210974
2025-05-25 0.036677 0.055840 0.079064 0.108397 0.143640 0.183893 0.232639
2025-06-01 0.030529 0.049970 0.074418 0.106154 0.145115 0.190375 0.245955
2025-06-08 0.025421 0.044825 0.070145 0.103893 0.146166 0.196039 0.258054
2025-06-15 0.022986 0.043011 0.069906 0.106471 0.152956 0.208414 0.277987
2025-06-22 0.020424 0.040715 0.068794 0.107744 0.157990 0.218587 0.295261
2025-06-29 0.019150 0.040160 0.069927 0.111856 0.166541 0.233023 0.317670
2025-07-06 0.016973 0.037978 0.068625 0.112608 0.170729 0.242062 0.333550
2025-07-13 0.017237 0.039671 0.072819 0.120767 0.184471 0.262960 0.363926
2025-07-20 0.014539 0.036377 0.069845 0.119340 0.186104 0.269248 0.377075
2025-07-27 0.013316 0.035459 0.070306 0.122654 0.194007 0.283517 0.400240
2025-08-03 0.011268 0.032804 0.067971 0.121925 0.196494 0.290934 0.414967
2025-08-10 0.010298 0.032003 0.068390 0.125038 0.204070 0.304808 0.437738
2025-08-17 0.009284 0.030969 0.068348 0.127422 0.210631 0.317378 0.458907
2025-08-24 0.007511 0.028077 0.065095 0.124941 0.210436 0.321153 0.468956
2025-08-31 0.005989 0.025392 0.061954 0.122438 0.210070 0.324605 0.478525
2025-09-07 0.005444 0.024857 0.062397 0.125291 0.217106 0.337702 0.500338
2025-09-14 0.004758 0.023841 0.061925 0.126698 0.222098 0.348122 0.518773
2025-09-21 0.004533 0.023976 0.063483 0.131239 0.231523 0.364412 0.544757
2025-09-28 0.003890 0.022847 0.062686 0.132069 0.235673 0.373739 0.561855